Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 4.933260 5.343207 5.797261 6.342873 6.988254 7.737377 8.688346
2025-02-02 4.656814 5.260144 5.984326 6.941432 8.213736 9.915867 12.509501
2025-02-09 4.290855 5.003033 5.913330 7.216721 9.145971 12.135108 17.823685
2025-02-16 3.955173 4.730175 5.773365 7.375473 10.001994 14.764257 26.892564
2025-02-23 3.648809 4.452328 5.580217 7.419285 10.732247 17.811083 44.652081
2025-03-02 3.301839 4.076832 5.192319 7.080199 10.699745 19.430300 68.967840
2025-03-09 3.068717 3.836727 4.972359 6.975347 11.105383 22.766790 178.392937
2025-03-16 2.816430 3.544727 4.637292 6.608521 10.846432 24.069803 641.056540
2025-03-23 2.683956 3.416944 4.544623 6.663567 11.590347 30.580410 NaN
2025-03-30 2.544128 3.265466 4.395552 6.583876 11.993236 37.293452 NaN
2025-04-06 2.404795 3.103805 4.212633 6.405475 12.073406 43.253534 NaN
2025-04-13 2.242604 2.896540 3.935536 5.995928 11.353224 41.517731 NaN
2025-04-20 2.186925 2.862108 3.967473 6.276997 13.036877 81.442033 NaN
2025-04-27 2.178810 2.903110 4.139205 6.926445 16.841030 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.124192 2.864045 4.162484 7.252673 20.132734 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.059108 2.802240 4.135824 7.454781 23.496319 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.987480 2.723789 4.067751 7.532192 26.600243 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.887107 2.589233 3.874429 7.207142 25.983864 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.815659 2.500826 3.766854 7.116283 27.601412 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.727119 2.377790 3.578740 6.748422 25.940055 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.681173 2.326997 3.534841 6.815027 29.343752 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.627725 2.259835 3.450900 6.739154 31.176146 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.570406 2.182933 3.340615 6.558376 31.296073 NaN NaN